Accident And Design: Contemporary Debates On Risk Management by C. Hood, D. K. C. Jones

By C. Hood, D. K. C. Jones

An exam of alternative theoretical, methodological and useful ways in the direction of the administration of hazard. Seven dimensions of the controversy are pointed out, and the case for every place is recommend, the complete dialogue being set in context and viewpoint. This quantity makes an attempt to spot and juxtapose the contested doctrines and underlying assumptions within the box of hazard administration.

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Even where records do exist, time series may be too short or incomplete, and quality of past observations or analyses may be causes for concern. This raises problems with assessments of the geographical distribution of hazardous events, the 26 ANTICIPATING THE RISKS POSED BY NATURAL PERILS true magnitude and frequency of potentially highly destructive extreme (catastrophic) events, the magnitude-frequency characteristics of specific hazards at particular locations (areas or sites) and, therefore, the hazardousness of place.

No matter what approach is adopted to problem-solving it is necessary to construct models, whether formal or informal. There are at least six attributes of models that are worth exploring; function, grounding, form, specification, applicability and completeness. 1, and definitions of the terms are given by Blockley (1992b). 1 Qualities of scientific and engineering knowledge. The balloon model of hazard A hazard has been defined by Fido & Wood (1989) as “A set of conditions in the operation of a product or system with the potential for initiating an accident sequence”.

This is not normally an option for engineers; the world is open in the sense that all relevant factors may not be known and the relationships between the known factors may be inconsistent and incomplete. Thus, although the possible solutions of an engineering problem are numerous, so are the possible futures. This is illustrated by the fact that, when engineering disasters happen, they are often the result of unintended consequences of human action. Interestingly, this is exactly what Popper described as the business of the social sciences.

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